Analytics & Fun Stats
What if you had a crystal ball? Here's the optimal portfolio — every team that earned more than its price.
Florida (1)#1
Houston (1)#1
Auburn (1)#1
Duke (1)#1
Texas Tech (3)#3
Tennessee (2)#2
Alabama (2)#2
Michigan State (2)#2
Arkansas (10)#10
Mississippi (6)#6
Arizona (4)#4
Kentucky (3)#3
BYU (6)#6
Purdue (4)#4
American/Mount St. Mary's (16) & Robert Morris (15)#16
Michigan (5)#5
Maryland (4)#4
McNeese (12)#12
Baylor (9)#9
New Mexico (10)#10
Drake (11)#11
Colorado State (12)#12
UCLA (7)#7
Creighton (9)#9
Illinois (6)#6
Saint Mary's (7)#7
Oregon (5)#5
Gonzaga (8)#8
Texas A&M (4)#4Actual Calcutta champion (Justin F.) earned $651.64 profit. The “perfect” draft would have earned $1,884.64 — 289% of theoretical max.
Teams that lost by 5 points or fewer. What that one extra win would have been worth.
$2 tax for every $1 spent over the $100 salary cap. Total tax collected: $6,524.00 (58.8% of pot).
| Owner | Tax | % of Total |
|---|---|---|
| Lionel D. | $1,046.00 | 62.7% |
| Justin F. | $1,014.00 | 62.6% |
| Ben M. | $886.00 | 62.0% |
| Noah S. | $702.00 | 60.9% |
| Jeff W. | $614.00 | 60.1% |
| Kendall E. | $584.00 | 59.8% |
| Adam S. | $486.00 | 58.6% |
| Joshua F. | $408.00 | 57.3% |
| Asad S. | $298.00 | 54.5% |
| Matthew B. | $204.00 | 50.2% |
| Patrick K. | $130.00 | 44.1% |
| Gary F. | $116.00 | 42.3% |
| Kevin M. | $36.00 | 23.4% |
Each dot is a team. X-axis = auction price, Y-axis = tournament payout. Dots above the diagonal line were profitable.
Compares each owner's actual payout to their “expected” payout (based on average performance of their teams' seeds). Positive = lucky (teams overperformed), Negative = unlucky.
South
West
East
Midwest
| Range | Teams | Payout | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1-25 | 12 | $110.86 | -55.5% |
| $26-50 | 20 | $970.03 | +22.0% |
| $51-100 | 14 | $2,300.37 | +130.7% |
| $101-150 | 6 | $1,468.91 | +90.8% |
| $151-253 | 8 | $6,235.91 | +256.1% |
11 upsets in 63 games (17.5% upset rate)
#5 Memphis
#5 Clemson
#6 Missouri
#7 Marquette
#7 Kansas
#3 Wisconsin
#8 Louisville
#8 Mississippi State
How efficiently did each owner spend their auction dollars?
| Owner | $/Win | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Gary F. | $52.67 | 67% |
| Justin F. | $55.18 | 56% |
| Kendall E. | $56.00 | 100% |
| Joshua F. | $60.80 | 100% |
| Asad S. | $62.25 | 67% |
| Noah S. | $64.43 | 60% |
| Ben M. | $77.57 | 40% |
| Jeff W. | $81.40 | 36% |
| Patrick K. | $82.50 | 50% |
| Lionel D. | $89.00 | 50% |
| Matthew B. | $101.00 | 33% |
| Adam S. | $114.33 | 33% |
All 1-Seeds in Final Four
For just the 4th time ever, all four #1 seeds made the Final Four: Auburn, Florida, Duke, Houston.
Tax Man Cometh
Lionel D. paid the most tax at $1046 — more than his total item spending!
Jeff W.: Team Collector
Jeff bought 11 teams — the most of any owner. Quantity strategy!
Kevin's Tough Luck
Kevin M. spent $154 total and earned $0.00 back. All 5 of his teams lost in the first round.
Gary's Bargain Bin
Gary F. spent just $274 total (lowest spender with payouts) and earned $415.73 for a +51.73% ROI.
The $250 St. John's Gamble
Lionel D. paid $250 for St. John's \u2014 the most for any single team. They were upset by 10-seed Arkansas in Round 2.
Florida: The $225 Champion
Justin F. bought the eventual champions for $225. Florida earned him $1,635 in payouts across 6 wins.
Blowout Bonus: Strategic Value?
Kendall E.'s $27 package (16/15 seeds) earned $221.72 from the blowout bonus \u2014 an 8.2x return on that pick alone!